Alice Soulie vs Ekaterina Ovcharenko Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• In second serve performance over the past six months, Ovcharenko leads with 41.63% of points won compared to Soulie's 38.51%. Could this provide Ovcharenko an edge? Yes, the data suggests a strong correlation between second serve points and match outcomes.
• When it comes to returning second serves, Ovcharenko again has the advantage, winning 49.93% of these points, while Soulie trails with 47.66%. This could be pivotal in the match.
• Interestingly, Soulie performs slightly better at returning first serves with a 31.11% success rate compared to Ovcharenko's 29.98%. But does this outweigh Ovcharenko's second serve and return strength? Likely not.
• Under pressure, Soulie has saved a larger percentage of breakpoints (53.97%) than Ovcharenko (48.76%), indicating a potentially stronger mental game in high-stakes moments.
• Ovcharenko has a higher match win percentage over the past year (57.14%) compared to Soulie (48.28%), suggesting a more consistent overall performance.
• Surface preferences reveal that Ovcharenko excels on I.hard, whereas Soulie performs best on hard courts, which is crucial given the upcoming match context.
• Ovcharenko typically competes in higher-level tournaments, which may indicate exposure to stronger competition and better preparation.
• In their previous head-to-head encounter, Ovcharenko emerged victorious in a three-set match, showcasing a potential psychological and tactical advantage.
• Experience against higher-ranked opponents favors Soulie, who has faced tougher competition on average, possibly enhancing resilience.
• Given their track record, Ovcharenko has a significant edge in deciding set performances, winning 68% to Soulie's 33% over the last year, a telling factor if the match goes the distance.
• Breakpoint conversion stats favor Ovcharenko significantly, with a success rate of 43.61% compared to Soulie's 32.43%, providing critical momentum shifts.

Editorial Prediction (July 1, 2025, UTC):

As we look forward to this intriguing matchup, several factors stand out to predict the likely winner. Ovcharenko's superior performance in winning points on both their second serve and return game is a substantial advantage.

Despite Soulie's notable ability to save breakpoints, Ovcharenko's overall consistency, greater exposure to higher-level competition, and previous head-to-head victory suggest a robust capacity to capitalize under pressure.

Furthermore, Ovcharenko's proficiency in converting breakpoint opportunities and success in deciding sets further tilt the prediction in their favor.

Considering all available data, Ovcharenko appears to have the upper hand in the upcoming match against Soulie.